Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 75.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 94.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 87.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
7
(22 meetings)
15
7
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
0
Kopitar
MacKinnon
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
5
Kopitar
MacKinnon
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
49.2% (1,266)
+7.7%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
54.9% (193)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
49.1% (55)
-5.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Home
58.4% (774)
50.9% (740)
Away
56.0% (763)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Kopitar
MacKinnon
P1
59.4%
50.9%
P2
56.8%
51.8%
P3
55.9%
47.1%
OT
45.5%
58.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 12:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 15:39 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |