Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs MacKinnon 44.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 66.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 66.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 69.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
4
Kopitar
MacKinnon
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
5
Kopitar
MacKinnon
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
44.7% (1,053)
+11.7%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
36.8% (95)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
65.0% (20)
-17.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Home
56.3% (783)
49.4% (553)
Away
55.5% (825)
40.0% (615)
By Period
Kopitar
MacKinnon
P1
57.9%
45.3%
P2
54.5%
42.7%
P3
55.2%
45.1%
OT
57.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 03:05 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 17:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 11:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:22 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |