Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 84.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 64.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Last 7: Kopitar 5-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
50.0% (992)
+4.9%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
64.9% (148)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
34.4% (32)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Home
56.8% (533)
53.3% (591)
Away
55.3% (535)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Kopitar
MacKinnon
P1
55.9%
49.9%
P2
57.1%
53.2%
P3
55.4%
50.8%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |