Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 55.4%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs O'Reilly 54.9% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 55.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 55.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Kopitar
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
55.4% (826)
-0.5%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
57.9% (221)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
50.4% (129)
+0.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
56.8% (533)
55.8% (579)
Away
55.3% (535)
54.9% (597)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
55.9%
57.7%
P2
57.1%
54.8%
P3
55.4%
54.3%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 04:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | OT | 02:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |