Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.8%). Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 50.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 61.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Kopitar
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Kopitar
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
56.1% (690)
+0.3%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
64.6% (96)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
45.9% (109)
+1.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
56.3% (783)
58.3% (408)
Away
55.5% (825)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
57.9%
57.7%
P2
54.5%
54.8%
P3
55.2%
55.2%
OT
57.6%
45.5%
Final 5 min
55.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |