Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 58.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
O'Reilly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Kopitar
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
56.2% (983)
+0.7%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
55.5% (254)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
52.0% (102)
-8.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
58.4% (774)
56.2% (697)
Away
56.0% (763)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
59.4%
54.5%
P2
56.8%
55.5%
P3
55.9%
57.1%
OT
45.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2024 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |