Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.9% vs 56.8%). Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 59.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 58.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 51.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
23
(34 meetings)
11
23
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
7
Kopitar
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
11
Kopitar
O'Reilly
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Kopitar
O'Reilly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
56.6% (1,064)
+1.0%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
60.4% (260)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
54.0% (261)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
57.2% (778)
54.9% (801)
Away
56.5% (731)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
56.3%
58.0%
P2
57.1%
56.7%
P3
57.0%
55.4%
OT
59.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 07:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 07:15 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 04:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |