Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 56.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
5
Kopitar
O'Reilly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
4
Kopitar
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Kopitar
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
55.0% (1,084)
+1.4%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
56.8% (303)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
40.3% (149)
+5.2%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
56.1% (786)
54.8% (759)
Away
54.0% (774)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
56.2%
55.3%
P2
55.4%
51.9%
P3
53.0%
54.2%
OT
70.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 16:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 03:50 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:41 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:09 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2024 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |