Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.6% vs O'Reilly 52.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 17-7 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.2%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 59.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 60.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
17
(24 meetings)
7
17
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
7
Kopitar
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kopitar
O'Reilly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
6
Kopitar
O'Reilly
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (982)
52.5% (1,177)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.0% (235)
54.6% (130)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (176)
52.8% (108)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (964).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,027).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (703)
54.9% (669)
Away
55.5% (715)
51.0% (774)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
54.9%
52.4%
P2
56.3%
56.1%
P3
49.5%
49.8%
OT
65.5%
57.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2012 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 05:28 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 3 | 06:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 2, 2012 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 10:34 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 14:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2011 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |