Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.1% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 60.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 69.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 52.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 9: Kopitar 6-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Kopitar
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
1
Kopitar
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,045)
51.5% (194)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.6% (235)
52.3% (107)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (171)
51.4% (70)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
53.1% (748)
50.3% (185)
Away
53.5% (703)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
51.0%
51.0%
P2
52.6%
48.9%
P3
56.1%
53.3%
OT
55.6%
68.8%
Final 5 min
56.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 21, 2013 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |