Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.4%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.4% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 62.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 50.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 53.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
5
Kopitar
O'Reilly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Kopitar
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,066)
52.7% (900)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
55.6% (225)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (172)
54.5% (209)
-4.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
53.6% (722)
55.1% (693)
Away
51.6% (708)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
52.5%
51.5%
P2
51.1%
54.7%
P3
54.1%
52.7%
OT
53.1%
69.7%
Final 5 min
52.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 11:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |