Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.3% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 65.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 64.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 64.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (1,285)
56.9% (1,203)
-4.1%
Power Play
64.8% (199)
60.2% (329)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (292)
50.4% (280)
-1.8%
On power play, Kopitar has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,060).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
53.7% (918)
58.6% (879)
Away
53.3% (858)
54.6% (933)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
52.9%
55.6%
P2
53.6%
57.9%
P3
53.4%
55.7%
OT
64.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | OT | 00:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2015 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 11:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 19:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |