Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.5% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 75.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 82.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 72.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
17
(25 meetings)
8
17
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Kopitar
O'Reilly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
9
Kopitar
O'Reilly
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,288)
57.9% (1,179)
-4.9%
Power Play
61.3% (194)
63.0% (292)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (211)
53.8% (320)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,073).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
55.7% (853)
61.3% (884)
Away
49.6% (840)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
50.2%
55.5%
P2
54.7%
61.0%
P3
52.7%
56.8%
OT
56.8%
67.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 15:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:24 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 06:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |