Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 47 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.7% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 63-48 in 111 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 50.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 53.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 52.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
63
(111 meetings)
48
63
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
19
28
Kopitar
O'Reilly
47 total
Defensive Zone
Even
14
14
Kopitar
O'Reilly
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
15
21
Kopitar
O'Reilly
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (742)
58.6% (841)
-3.1%
Power Play
63.9% (219)
59.9% (207)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (193)
58.1% (148)
-1.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kopitar is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (923).
Kopitar shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Kopitar
O'Reilly
Home
58.7% (557)
59.8% (594)
Away
55.9% (597)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Kopitar
O'Reilly
P1
55.9%
61.7%
P2
60.3%
56.2%
P3
55.6%
59.5%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
66.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 14:18 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 12:17 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:08 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |