Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 56.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 57.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 58.2%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Kopitar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kopitar
Gourde
Last 5: Kopitar 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
3
Kopitar
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
49.1% (847)
+7.3%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
79.5% (44)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
39.5% (81)
+8.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gourde
Home
56.3% (783)
50.1% (491)
Away
55.5% (825)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Kopitar
Gourde
P1
57.9%
54.7%
P2
54.5%
45.0%
P3
55.2%
49.4%
OT
57.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 09:50 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |