Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Gourde 48.0% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 69.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 51.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 69.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Kopitar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kopitar
Gourde
Last 7: Kopitar 4-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Kopitar
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
48.0% (914)
+8.4%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
54.2% (48)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
43.9% (123)
+1.6%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gourde
Home
56.1% (786)
50.2% (512)
Away
54.0% (774)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Kopitar
Gourde
P1
56.2%
50.0%
P2
55.4%
45.3%
P3
53.0%
48.6%
OT
70.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |