Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Gourde 48.2% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 26-14 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 96.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 87.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 91.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Kopitar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
14
(40 meetings)
26
14
Kopitar
Gourde
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kopitar
Gourde
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
14
5
Kopitar
Gourde
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
5
Kopitar
Gourde
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
48.4% (4,954)
+6.2%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
57.4% (376)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
39.9% (554)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gourde
Home
55.3% (11,643)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Kopitar
Gourde
P1
54.5%
49.9%
P2
54.9%
47.4%
P3
53.9%
47.5%
OT
59.2%
37.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:57 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |