Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.7% vs Gourde 45.6% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 93.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 79.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 79.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
Kopitar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kopitar
Gourde
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Kopitar
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
0
Kopitar
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (441)
47.1% (463)
+9.4%
Power Play
66.2% (154)
36.4% (11)
+29.8%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (115)
29.9% (67)
+20.5%
On power play, Kopitar has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kopitar is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Kopitar shoots left. Gourde is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gourde
Home
57.8% (325)
42.3% (215)
Away
57.4% (385)
46.3% (326)
By Period
Kopitar
Gourde
P1
55.8%
44.8%
P2
57.6%
49.1%
P3
59.6%
40.1%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.2%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
57.6%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |