Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 95.0%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 66.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 76.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Kopitar
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Kopitar
Gourde
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Kopitar
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
0
Kopitar
Gourde
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
47.2% (654)
+7.7%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
45.0% (20)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
32.2% (87)
+18.5%
On power play, Kopitar has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Gourde
Home
56.8% (533)
44.1% (322)
Away
55.3% (535)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Kopitar
Gourde
P1
55.9%
42.4%
P2
57.1%
49.8%
P3
55.4%
44.3%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:12 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |