Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Paul 53.9% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Paul 57.3%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 52.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Czarnik
Paul
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
53.1% (710)
-4.9%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
57.3% (199)
+22.7%
On power play, Czarnik has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Czarnik is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Czarnik shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Paul
Home
48.6% (105)
56.0% (466)
Away
49.5% (99)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Czarnik
Paul
P1
53.6%
57.2%
P2
47.1%
54.9%
P3
46.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%