Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Toffoli 50.7% (-13.9%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 55.3%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 53.1%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 58.5%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Czarnik
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (57)
62.5% (24)
-23.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Czarnik is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Czarnik shoots right. Toffoli is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (10).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Toffoli
Home
36.2% (47)
52.9% (17)
Away
50.0% (12)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Czarnik
Toffoli
P1
50.0%
58.3%
P2
31.8%
50.0%
P3
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
21.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
39.0%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%