Austin Czarnik vs Tyler Toffoli
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Toffoli 43.0% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 67.9%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 64.4%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 50.2%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Czarnik
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
41.2% (274)
+4.6%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
45.0% (40)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
26.3% (19)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Czarnik is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Czarnik shoots right. Toffoli is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Toffoli
Home
45.1% (335)
44.5% (155)
Away
45.6% (331)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Czarnik
Toffoli
P1
47.8%
47.4%
P2
47.4%
39.8%
P3
40.6%
32.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%