Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.8% vs Toffoli 50.9% (-15.2%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 51.7%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 58.5%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 54.8%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Czarnik
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (156)
62.5% (8)
-18.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (4)
-16.7%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Czarnik is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Czarnik shoots right. Toffoli is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (3).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Toffoli
Home
46.1% (76)
80.0% (5)
Away
40.5% (84)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Czarnik
Toffoli
P1
44.2%
60.0%
P2
41.2%
75.0%
P3
44.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
43.1%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
58.3%