Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Toffoli 45.0% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 73.2%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 75.8%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 51.2%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Czarnik
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
39.0% (59)
+9.2%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
36.4% (11)
+43.6%
On power play, Czarnik has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Czarnik is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Czarnik shoots right. Toffoli is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Toffoli
Home
48.6% (105)
35.1% (37)
Away
49.5% (99)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Czarnik
Toffoli
P1
53.6%
46.4%
P2
47.1%
26.9%
P3
46.2%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
26.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
38.0%