Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Matthews wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 47.1% vs Horvat 50.4% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.9%
Defensive zone
Horvat 56.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 60.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Matthews
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Matthews
Horvat
Last 9: Matthews 0-9 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Matthews
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
4
Matthews
Horvat
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
4
Matthews
Horvat
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (1,000)
50.0% (1,163)
-3.8%
Power Play
53.6% (125)
60.5% (157)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
44.9% (178)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Matthews is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Matthews shoots left. Horvat is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (980).
Home / Away
Matthews
Horvat
Home
48.4% (562)
52.0% (767)
Away
45.3% (570)
48.8% (731)
By Period
Matthews
Horvat
P1
51.3%
47.1%
P2
44.5%
49.4%
P3
44.6%
54.3%
OT
55.6%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
46.8%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2016 | OT | 04:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:15 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 11:30 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 07:47 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |