Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Horvat 55.4% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Horvat 65.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 53.7%
Neutral zone
Horvat 55.5%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Matthews
Horvat
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
55.3% (682)
+4.5%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
62.2% (230)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
46.5% (101)
+9.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Matthews
Horvat
Home
60.0% (520)
58.2% (469)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Matthews
Horvat
P1
60.2%
59.6%
P2
58.2%
53.1%
P3
60.4%
55.5%
OT
70.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%