Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.9%). Look for Horvat on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Horvat shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Horvat 53.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Horvat 55.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.4%
Neutral zone
Horvat 50.6%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Matthews
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Matthews
Horvat
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
4
5
Matthews
Horvat
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Horvat
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Horvat
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
53.5% (1,071)
-0.1%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
56.3% (272)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
51.3% (76)
-9.4%
On power play, Matthews has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Horvat is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (888).
Home / Away
Matthews
Horvat
Home
56.5% (703)
54.2% (714)
Away
50.0% (616)
53.6% (705)
By Period
Matthews
Horvat
P1
52.1%
53.5%
P2
54.0%
56.3%
P3
54.0%
53.5%
OT
57.7%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2024 | OT | 00:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |