Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Horvat 56.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 50.3%
Defensive zone
Horvat 75.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 53.2%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Matthews
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Matthews
Horvat
Last 6: Matthews 4-2 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Horvat
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Horvat
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Matthews
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
54.7% (1,126)
-2.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
67.0% (342)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
52.1% (217)
+22.9%
On power play, Horvat has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Matthews
Horvat
Home
54.8% (515)
59.8% (853)
Away
50.2% (534)
53.8% (832)
By Period
Matthews
Horvat
P1
54.4%
55.0%
P2
50.4%
58.3%
P3
51.8%
57.8%
OT
75.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |