Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.7% vs Horvat 52.7% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 46-42 in 88 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 54.2%
Defensive zone
Horvat 55.0%
Neutral zone
Horvat 51.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Matthews
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
46
-
42
(88 meetings)
46
42
Matthews
Horvat
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
14
8
Matthews
Horvat
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
10
16
Matthews
Horvat
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
22
18
Matthews
Horvat
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (795)
50.7% (955)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.5% (40)
65.3% (213)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (32)
43.9% (57)
-0.1%
On power play, Horvat has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Matthews is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Matthews shoots left. Horvat is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Matthews
Horvat
Home
53.5% (454)
54.1% (599)
Away
50.1% (413)
51.8% (626)
By Period
Matthews
Horvat
P1
54.8%
50.8%
P2
52.2%
50.0%
P3
48.1%
57.7%
OT
57.1%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
51.9%
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 07:24 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:37 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 18:57 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:05 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |