Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Cizikas 53.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 91.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 53.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Matthews
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Matthews
Cizikas
Last 9: Matthews 7-2 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Cizikas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Cizikas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
55.2% (525)
-0.1%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
38.9% (18)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
49.0% (145)
+1.0%
On power play, Matthews has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Cizikas is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cizikas
Home
57.0% (440)
55.5% (353)
Away
53.1% (480)
51.3% (335)
By Period
Matthews
Cizikas
P1
54.0%
53.4%
P2
55.1%
51.4%
P3
56.4%
55.8%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 16:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |