Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Cizikas 53.5% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 53.1%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 56.3%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 55.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Matthews
Cizikas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
54.4% (524)
+5.4%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
100.0% (3)
-35.1%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
47.6% (42)
+8.7%
On power play, Cizikas has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cizikas
Home
60.0% (520)
53.3% (270)
Away
59.3% (452)
54.8% (299)
By Period
Matthews
Cizikas
P1
60.2%
57.2%
P2
58.2%
56.3%
P3
60.4%
49.5%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%