Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Cizikas 53.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 52.0%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Matthews
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Matthews
Cizikas
Last 10: Matthews 2-8 Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Cizikas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
6
Matthews
Cizikas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
4
Matthews
Cizikas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
56.4% (757)
-3.7%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
41.2% (17)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
40.6% (165)
+34.4%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Cizikas is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cizikas
Home
54.8% (515)
55.0% (473)
Away
50.2% (534)
51.7% (466)
By Period
Matthews
Cizikas
P1
54.4%
54.9%
P2
50.4%
50.8%
P3
51.8%
54.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:29 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 08:10 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 10:27 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |