Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 55.6%). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Cizikas 55.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 71.6%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 83.9%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 63.1%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Matthews
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Matthews
Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Matthews
Cizikas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
0
2
Matthews
Cizikas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
57.8% (767)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
66.7% (18)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
44.9% (176)
+5.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cizikas
Home
60.7% (572)
56.6% (484)
Away
52.4% (657)
54.5% (477)
By Period
Matthews
Cizikas
P1
60.3%
57.2%
P2
55.6%
54.7%
P3
53.3%
54.8%
OT
45.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |