Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.4%). Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Cizikas shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Cizikas 52.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 75.2%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 74.1%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 50.3%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Matthews
Cizikas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Matthews
Cizikas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Cizikas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
2
Matthews
Cizikas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cizikas
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
53.7% (525)
-0.3%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
100.0% (1)
-34.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
51.7% (120)
-9.8%
On power play, Cizikas has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cizikas shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Cizikas is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cizikas
Home
56.5% (703)
58.6% (307)
Away
50.0% (616)
48.7% (339)
By Period
Matthews
Cizikas
P1
52.1%
56.7%
P2
54.0%
49.8%
P3
54.0%
53.8%
OT
57.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |