Auston Matthews vs Chris Wagner
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Wagner 49.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Wagner leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.2%
Defensive zone
Wagner 82.2%
Neutral zone
Wagner 52.5%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Matthews
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Matthews
Wagner
Last 10: Matthews 5-5 Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Wagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
6
Matthews
Wagner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Wagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
50.8% (1,243)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
40.0% (20)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
42.0% (307)
+7.8%
On power play, Matthews has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Matthews
Wagner
Home
56.3% (5,065)
49.8% (817)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
47.9% (753)
By Period
Matthews
Wagner
P1
55.5%
48.6%
P2
53.3%
48.6%
P3
52.8%
49.5%
OT
56.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 30, 2018 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 1, 2017 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |