Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +56.2% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Wagner 49.5% (+56.2%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.0%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Matthews
Wagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Wagner
Edge
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Wagner is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
By Period
Matthews
Wagner
P2
55.6%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
0.0%