Scouting Report
Chris Wagner holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Wagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Wagner 53.1% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 59.3%
Defensive zone
Wagner 59.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 50.0%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Matthews
Wagner
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Matthews
Wagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
0
2
Matthews
Wagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
61.4% (44)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
50.0% (18)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Wagner has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Matthews is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Matthews shoots left. Wagner is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Matthews
Wagner
Home
56.5% (703)
63.9% (36)
Away
50.0% (616)
50.0% (26)
By Period
Matthews
Wagner
P1
52.1%
66.7%
P2
54.0%
37.5%
P3
54.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |