Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +27.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Wagner 49.0% (+27.4%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 64.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 58.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 57.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Matthews
Wagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Wagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
25.0% (4)
+27.7%
On even strength, Matthews has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wagner shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Wagner is 0.0% vs left-shot opponents (2).
By Period
Matthews
Wagner
P2
50.4%
0.0%
P3
51.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
25.0%