Auston Matthews vs Christian Dvorak
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.0%). Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Dvorak 51.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 69.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 72.4%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Matthews
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Matthews
Dvorak
Last 8: Matthews 4-4 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Dvorak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Dvorak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
0
2
Matthews
Dvorak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
52.2% (686)
+0.5%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
49.0% (104)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
53.5% (127)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Dvorak is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dvorak
Home
54.8% (515)
54.1% (423)
Away
50.2% (534)
50.2% (494)
By Period
Matthews
Dvorak
P1
54.4%
51.4%
P2
50.4%
52.0%
P3
51.8%
52.4%
OT
75.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:42 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 11:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |