Auston Matthews vs Christian Dvorak
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Dvorak on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Dvorak 55.3% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 58.1%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 70.0%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 62.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Matthews
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Matthews
Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
2
Matthews
Dvorak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
56.4% (857)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
69.0% (29)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
50.6% (174)
+0.1%
On power play, Dvorak has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Dvorak is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dvorak
Home
59.1% (528)
55.1% (501)
Away
55.1% (695)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Matthews
Dvorak
P1
56.2%
55.8%
P2
58.1%
52.5%
P3
56.4%
58.2%
OT
50.0%
63.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |