Auston Matthews vs Christian Dvorak
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Dvorak 52.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorak 56.6%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 55.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 55.1%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Matthews
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Matthews
Dvorak
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
5
Matthews
Dvorak
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
6
1
Matthews
Dvorak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
1
2
Matthews
Dvorak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
53.7% (762)
+6.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
54.0% (124)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
47.6% (82)
+8.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Dvorak is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dvorak
Home
60.0% (520)
53.6% (461)
Away
59.3% (452)
52.9% (507)
By Period
Matthews
Dvorak
P1
60.2%
54.1%
P2
58.2%
52.9%
P3
60.4%
53.8%
OT
70.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
57.6%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |