Auston Matthews vs Christian Dvorak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.1%). Look for Dvorak on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dvorak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Dvorak 53.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Dvorak leads 26-25 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 63.8%
Defensive zone
Dvorak 61.7%
Neutral zone
Dvorak 52.4%
Result
Christian Dvorak favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Matthews
Dvorak
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
26
(51 meetings)
25
26
Matthews
Dvorak
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Dvorak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
9
9
Matthews
Dvorak
18 total
Defensive Zone
Even
11
11
Matthews
Dvorak
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorak
5
6
Matthews
Dvorak
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Dvorak
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.0% (6,743)
+1.0%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
55.7% (1,005)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
51.0% (887)
-1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorak shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Dvorak is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,559).
Home / Away
Matthews
Dvorak
Home
56.3% (5,065)
54.7% (4,115)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
51.7% (4,520)
By Period
Matthews
Dvorak
P1
55.5%
54.5%
P2
53.3%
51.8%
P3
52.8%
53.0%
OT
56.6%
56.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Dvorak
40.0%▼
52.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Christian Dvorak |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:01 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Christian Dvorak |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |