Auston Matthews vs Connor Bedard
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bedard shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Bedard 41.3% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 89.4%
Defensive zone
Matthews 77.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 88.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Matthews
Bedard
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Matthews
Bedard
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Bedard
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
1
Matthews
Bedard
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Bedard
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
6
6
Matthews
Bedard
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Bedard
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
40.1% (1,580)
+13.9%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
51.9% (77)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
50.0% (24)
-0.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bedard shoots right. Matthews is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,705).
Matthews shoots left. Bedard is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,213).
Home / Away
Matthews
Bedard
Home
56.3% (5,065)
43.3% (785)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
38.5% (896)
By Period
Matthews
Bedard
P1
55.5%
39.0%
P2
53.3%
40.7%
P3
52.8%
42.6%
OT
56.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 02:58 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 11:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |