Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Cozens 46.1% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 93.9%
Defensive zone
Matthews 89.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 94.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Matthews
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Matthews
Cozens
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Matthews
Cozens
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Cozens
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
2
Matthews
Cozens
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
45.6% (746)
+10.7%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
50.8% (65)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
34.5% (29)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Cozens is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Matthews
Cozens
Home
60.7% (572)
43.9% (410)
Away
52.4% (657)
47.2% (430)
By Period
Matthews
Cozens
P1
60.3%
46.4%
P2
55.6%
41.6%
P3
53.3%
49.4%
OT
45.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 12:50 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 04:02 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:15 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |