Auston Matthews vs Elias Pettersson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Pettersson 47.2% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 84.7%
Defensive zone
Matthews 95.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 93.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Matthews
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Matthews
Pettersson
Last 9: Matthews 8-1 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Pettersson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
45.9% (790)
+13.9%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
55.4% (242)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
35.5% (107)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pettersson
Home
60.0% (520)
49.3% (584)
Away
59.3% (452)
44.5% (555)
By Period
Matthews
Pettersson
P1
60.2%
45.8%
P2
58.2%
47.9%
P3
60.4%
47.1%
OT
70.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |