Auston Matthews vs Elias Pettersson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Pettersson 46.2% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Matthews
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Matthews
Pettersson
Last 9: Matthews 8-1 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
0
Matthews
Pettersson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
43.8% (630)
+14.8%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
56.3% (215)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (71)
35.9% (103)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Matthews is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Matthews shoots left. Pettersson is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pettersson
Home
60.0% (475)
48.3% (453)
Away
57.2% (346)
43.4% (495)
By Period
Matthews
Pettersson
P1
58.3%
44.7%
P2
58.4%
46.0%
P3
59.4%
46.4%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 07:10 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |