Auston Matthews vs Elias Pettersson
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Matthews wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 56.3% vs Pettersson 47.7% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 81.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 97.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 94.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 88.0%
88.0%
12.0%
Matthews
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Matthews
Pettersson
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
8
1
Matthews
Pettersson
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Pettersson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
3
Matthews
Pettersson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (943)
46.3% (790)
+12.0%
Power Play
55.7% (61)
53.1% (147)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (219)
51.9% (27)
-1.2%
On even strength, Matthews has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Matthews is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (803).
Matthews shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pettersson
Home
59.1% (528)
48.1% (489)
Away
55.1% (695)
46.9% (475)
By Period
Matthews
Pettersson
P1
56.2%
47.4%
P2
58.1%
48.3%
P3
56.4%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.8%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 05:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:20 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:31 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |