Auston Matthews vs Elias Pettersson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Pettersson 50.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 61.9%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 61.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 60.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Matthews
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Matthews
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
2
Matthews
Pettersson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
1
Matthews
Pettersson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
50.4% (698)
+3.0%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
63.2% (57)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
40.9% (44)
+1.0%
On even strength, Matthews has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pettersson
Home
56.5% (703)
50.7% (420)
Away
50.0% (616)
50.9% (379)
By Period
Matthews
Pettersson
P1
52.1%
48.0%
P2
54.0%
47.6%
P3
54.0%
57.5%
OT
57.7%
30.0%
Final 5 min
54.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 12:13 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |