Auston Matthews vs Elias Pettersson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Pettersson 44.8% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 77.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 69.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Matthews
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Matthews
Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Pettersson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
3
Matthews
Pettersson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
44.1% (912)
+8.6%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
61.5% (39)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
34.8% (46)
+40.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Matthews
Pettersson
Home
54.8% (515)
45.0% (489)
Away
50.2% (534)
43.7% (508)
By Period
Matthews
Pettersson
P1
54.4%
46.0%
P2
50.4%
45.7%
P3
51.8%
42.2%
OT
75.0%
23.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:38 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:42 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |