Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.0% vs 54.1%). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Haula 53.6% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 50.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 62.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 62.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Matthews
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Matthews
Haula
Last 6: Matthews 2-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthews
Haula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Matthews
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
54.7% (516)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
60.3% (126)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
37.1% (62)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Matthews
Haula
Home
57.0% (440)
58.8% (386)
Away
53.1% (480)
48.4% (318)
By Period
Matthews
Haula
P1
54.0%
53.8%
P2
55.1%
55.2%
P3
56.4%
53.2%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 15:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:09 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |