Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 26 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Haula 52.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 29-25 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 55.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 66.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 56.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Matthews
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
29
(54 meetings)
25
29
Matthews
Haula
Last 10: Matthews 4-6 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
10
10
Matthews
Haula
20 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Matthews
Haula
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
11
15
Matthews
Haula
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
52.9% (7,683)
+1.1%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
57.5% (603)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
43.5% (791)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Home / Away
Matthews
Haula
Home
56.3% (5,065)
53.4% (4,478)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
51.3% (4,599)
By Period
Matthews
Haula
P1
55.5%
53.2%
P2
53.3%
51.4%
P3
52.8%
52.7%
OT
56.6%
43.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 16:05 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 07:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:18 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 7, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |