Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Haula 50.1% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 60.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 60.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 60.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Matthews
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Matthews
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Matthews
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
50.0% (704)
+9.8%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
55.4% (74)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
44.1% (59)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Matthews
Haula
Home
60.0% (520)
48.6% (426)
Away
59.3% (452)
51.6% (411)
By Period
Matthews
Haula
P1
60.2%
52.2%
P2
58.2%
51.5%
P3
60.4%
46.7%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Offensive | Erik Haula |